IdleRich
IdleRich
Ah this is interesting at least. A direct and simple prediction that can either be wrong or right. As long as you recognise worldometer or whatever... I can see a scenario where that ticks over 200k and then you say "Ah but you have to divide that number by 17" or something. But no that's unworthy of me.Prediction: the US won't exceed 200,000 deaths by 2021.
So the US has about 160k deaths apparently at the moment. In April or May or whatever they were getting about 2k deaths a day, it went right down to about 300 but has now gone back up to almost 1.5k a day and seems to still be upwardly trending. So unless something changes it feels as though they will hit 200k in early September.
So... a bold statement, in that any prediction that you can be held to is bold. But also it predicts (another, admittedly) dramatic drop-off in US daily deaths. And what you're saying (just to be clear) is that it will drop off, not because of any particular action from the government or the states or whatever but just because that is how this spread behaves?
Brave anyway, let's see.
Last edited: