IdleRich

IdleRich
you're correct: the constitution doesn't specify or restrict the number of Supreme Court justices, and in fact the number has increased and decreased over the years (but hasn't changes for many years). I believe all it would take is a senate vote and presidential signature,.

chuck Schumer said all options are on the table if the GOP pushes a vote on RBG's replacement before the election (or after in the event of a Biden win and Dem takeover of the senate). how likely? no way to tell, the dems have a reputation for bungling things.
My feeling is that they lack the killer instinct to even try it, never mind getting to the bungling stage.
 

IdleRich

IdleRich
It's a sample of bookmakers and their odds. Biden's at 4/5 (odds on, but v narrow, see 5/6), while Trump's 11/10 and 1/1 (narrow miss and evens).

In other words, they're hedging their bets because it's too close to call. That factors in every variable a bookmaker's algorithm play-book can conjure, like electoral fraud, disputed outcomes, but they only have to provide an equation for each outcome and reduce their losses.

Bookmakers are reasonable guides for where the money is headed, except when it's close like this election. Evens like Trump's betting position is pretty rare too. I lost $150 in AC though, so bit of an amateur take.
Do you have to pay tax on a bet in the US like you used to have to in the UK?
 

WashYourHands

Cat Malogen
Do you have to pay tax on a bet in the US like you used to have to in the UK?

Can't remember. Exchanged $ for chips at the booth, played blackjack with a drunk ex who bitched her way out of a relationship that night. She went to bed, the only sane response was to get absolutely steaming and bump a few keys in the loos with hasidic jews on loads of free booze.

The car ride home the next day was sickeningly bad, eating breakfast at a BK with a bloodshot soul barely able to swallow or look at each other. A feast of tragic fun.
 

IdleRich

IdleRich
As I've said several times, the gloves are just totally off now. I feel that the calculation that this regime is making is "Will appointing a new judge before the election help us win the election?".
Presumably Trump is gonna (in fact has already started to) cheat as much as possible and, as a result, there are gonna be loads of disputes over who can vote, which votes can be declared invalid in one way or another and so on and so forth. And then the question arises of how many of those disputes are going to go all the way to the supreme court.
Just let me know if I'm understanding this correctly. Is it be possible that Trump's new pet judge, if appointed, could be ruling on disputes that could affect the outcome of the election?
 

IdleRich

IdleRich
Can't remember. Exchanged $ for chips at the booth, played blackjack with a drunk ex who bitched her way out of a relationship that night. She went to bed, the only sane response was to get absolutely steaming and bump a few keys in the loos with hasidic jews on loads of free booze.
Probably depends on the state come to think of it. The reason I'm asking is that when you're talking about evens and odds on then a tax on winnings makes a tiny margin even smaller. Must put people off you'd think.
As an aside, you know that programme about being in prison abroad? Not something I watch regularly but there was a great one about a Hasidic Jew from North London who, if I remember rightly, went to visit a relative in Antwerp and was then tricked into being a drug mule (not that hard cos he literally didn't know what cocaine was - at first) running powder from somewhere in South America. He then slowly discovered what he was doing and actually got more and more willingly into it until finally he was busted and ended up doing time in a fucked up crazy prison in South America where an MS13 (or something) gang member attacked him - and the Hasidic guy ended up beating him to death!
 

Leo

Well-known member
What's it like on the ground in NYC, Leo? Are you living in an "anarchist jurisdiction"?

it's total bullshit, they (the administration) just hate governor cuomo over COVID and DeBlaiso because he's a lefty. we had one night of isolated looting back in April, other than that it's been calm and peaceful aside from an occasional peaceful protest. don't believe what you read. it's also a hangover from all the "sanctuary city" stuff, Barr isn't a fans, obviously. plus NY southern district is still pursuing the trump organization, so he also had that chip on his shoulder.

TL;DR it's bullshit.
 

Leo

Well-known member
people are dining outdoors, museums have reopened, Sunday afternoon football, beautiful Fall weather. if this is an anarchist hellscape, bring it on.
 

IdleRich

IdleRich
it's total bullshit, they (the administration) just hate governor cuomo over COVID and DeBlaiso because he's a lefty. we had one night of isolated looting back in April, other than that it's been calm and peaceful aside from an occasional peaceful protest. don't believe what you read. it's also a hangover from all the "sanctuary city" stuff, Barr isn't a fans, obviously. plus NY southern district is still pursuing the trump organization, so he also had that chip on his shoulder.

TL;DR it's bullshit.
It's fucking nuts isn't it. I guess it's another weakness of the electoral college system in that Trump knows he will lose NY, it doesn't matter how much he will lose it by, so he may as well fuck it as hard as he can if it makes him popular elsewhere. That's right isn't it? It makes no difference if it goes to the Dems with 51% percent or 100% of the vote, those votes that do go to Trump in the city will not be counted in the EC, they are dead to him. And he knows that all his followers are insanely jealous of NY and think of it as a roiling cesspit of effete baby-murdering homo-hipsters who have something tricked the federal government into making them rich with government handouts or something.
In fact, as well as the above weakness I've just highlighted, this tactic seems indicative of another relatively recent development in politics which is the spite vote as an appreciable thing. You see it with Brexit and Trump is counting on it here - the idea that voters actually care more about hurting Dems/Remainers than they do about improving their own lot. And is there a sadder development in politics than the realisation that this can actually work? Such a terrible indictment of human nature.
 

IdleRich

IdleRich
And more Trump scummy behaviour; RBG's granddaughter has reported that her dying wish was that she should not be replaced until after the election.
Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer said any vote should take place next year.
“That was Justice Ginsburg’s dying wish. And it may be the Senate’s only, last hope,” Schumer said.
Trump said without evidence that he did not believe the National Public Radio report that Ginsburg had told her granddaughter she did not want the Senate to consider a successor until next year, when either Trump will begin a second term or Democratic rival Joe Biden, who leads in opinion polls, will take office.
“It was just too convenient,” Trump said.
We all get that Trump is gonna nominate a replacement anyway, that (as always) he'll just do what he wants (or what he can get away with) regardless of convention, of right and wrong and so on - but does he need to accuse a recently bereaved person of lying about her dead grandma while he's doing it? Of course he does.....
 

craner

Beast of Burden
It does seem a bit too convenient. But I thought these were precisely the kind of tricks you wanted the Democrats to play? No point in only one side playing dirty.
 

IdleRich

IdleRich
That seems to completely misunderstand what I'm saying - your comment implies that I believe she made it up and that I'm annoyed with her for doing so, but neither of those thoughts crossed my mind. What I'm actually asking is "Is it necessary for Trump to insult the bereaved granddaughter of RBG while he and his party are disgustingly breaking the rule they made up last time around for political gain?" - we know he's gonna ignore it anyway but can't he do it without groundlessly insulting someone at the same time?".
Or are you making some kind of joke I'm missing?
 

craner

Beast of Burden
That seems to completely misunderstand what I'm saying - your comment implies that I believe she made it up and that I'm annoyed with her for doing so, but neither of those thoughts crossed my mind. What I'm actually asking is "Is it necessary for Trump to insult the bereaved granddaughter of RBG while he and his party are disgustingly breaking the rule they made up last time around for political gain?" - we know he's gonna ignore it anyway but can't he do it without groundlessly insulting someone at the same time?".
Or are you making some kind of joke I'm missing?

No, I just completely misunderstood what you were saying. Sorry.
 

Mr. Tea

Let's Talk About Ceps
In fact, as well as the above weakness I've just highlighted, this tactic seems indicative of another relatively recent development in politics which is the spite vote as an appreciable thing. You see it with Brexit and Trump is counting on it here - the idea that voters actually care more about hurting Dems/Remainers than they do about improving their own lot. And is there a sadder development in politics than the realisation that this can actually work? Such a terrible indictment of human nature.
It struck me the other day that the reason we keep having Tory governments in the UK - first the austerity-mad psychopaths with Dave and George, and now Johnson's gang of lunatics who make the previous lot look almost reasonable by comparison - is that many people in this country are happy to get slapped in the face if it means they can watch someone else get kicked in the balls.
 

Mr. Tea

Let's Talk About Ceps
Britain couldn’t have expanded to empire without a deep seam of sadism. It‘s something of a specialisation.
But it's mixed up with a weird sort of masochism. I think some people have actually *enjoyed* austerity. Part of it is that other people have suffered much worse than they have, of course. So it's not:

"I've suffered, which is bad, but at least others have suffered worse, which is good".

It's more like:

"I've suffered, but have got through it with good old British pluck and stiff-upper-lip-fight-them-on-the-beaches-keep-calm-and-carry-on, which is good, and others have suffered worse, because they're feckless workshy single mums on heroin, which is also good".

Or something like that.
 
Top