I was only really talking about Falluja, but, hell, I'll bite: (I should point out that I am a contrarian and there's nothing I like more than a leftish sectarian ruck)
be.jazz said:
What are the US fighting for? To be able to hold elections leading to a government that has little popular legitimacy because it is seen as being propped up by the US?
Ok, consider the turnout for elections in Afghanistan. Is a similar result impossible in Iraq?
(tbh, I see that as unlikely, but if Sistani goes for it then who knows?)
Is the presence of the US Army decreasing or increasing instability in the country?
That's sort of a trick question really. Iraq is an inherently unstable country (as are pretty much all the 'nations' welded together under European imperialism). Under Saddam it was glued together by sheer police state brutality. Bushco has, well, fucked it by letting everything out of the bottle without enough troops to maintain order or empty the ammo caches, and by trusting in the magic of the market to reconstruct things (a command economy style mass reconstruction project would have been vastly smarter by actually having people working and not sitting around with nothing to do). They broke it open and now, well, we are going to see what happens.
Still, say the US troops leave tomorrow, what do you think happens then? You think the Shiite majority are going to go hold hands with the Wahhabis in Falluja or are they going to stomp the shit out of them in a way that the US army can't due to political considerations?
Is this war actually doing anything positive for the War on Terror, considering that Saddam Hussein had no known ties with major terrorist organisations?
Iraq had little to do with Islamist terrorism during Saddam Hussein's time, but it sure as hell does now. Falluja, Ramadi etc are the global ground zero for the bearded jihad tendency.
That's what makes the situation so difficult. Basically, as far as I can tell, if Bush decides to 'cut and run' now then it hands a gigantic propaganda victory to the jihadis. Their total and utter incompetence has made this situation more likely.