But let's leave aside the merits of the candidates at the moment, I think we all know where we stand on those. Those are what you use for picking the candidate that you want to win or that you are going to vote for..............
My question is, what makes you think the polls are wrong? Really really wrong. I mean regardless of whether you think Biden or Trump is the most racist - right now, when they've asked loads of people, using methods that are normally correct, and which are being refined all the time, to correct for errors that have crept in before, the evidence suggests that Biden is gonna win the states he needs to by a long way, what makes you think that is wrong?
To me that evidence is quite strong. Also, it ties in with reasoning. Last time Trump had a huge boost from the Comey investigation thing just before the election, with that, and with the ability to portray himself as an unknown quantity he scraped wins in the states he needed and - despite losing the popular vote quite convincingly - due to the foibles of the electoral college he won.
Now since then he has been president and thus loses the "unknown quantity" card, more than that, his presidency has seen countless members of his circle arrested charged and jailed, he's been impeached (and no evidence was produce to argue that he didn't attempt to get a foreign power to help him swing a US election) he has presided over the deaths of hundreds of thousands of US ciitzens and a disastrously collapsing economy, he has been ordered to pay money back to a charity that he presided over, he called the army suckers and losers, he ignored the information that Putin put bounties on US troops, he has been revealed as paying more tax in China than in the US and having a secret Chinese bank account he has wished the best to paedo-madame Ghislaine Maxwell and he has been humiliatingly caught in countless lies. I accept that he has a hard core base that simply will never desert him, but I find it very hard to accept that the above would have gained him any new votes, in fact I would assume that that litany of disasters and worse is likely to cost him votes from the group of people who are not fixed to either side.
And all the empirical polls seems to suggest that that is precisely what is happening. What am I missing here? What is the argument against that?