yyaldrin

in je ogen waait de wind
i was just at berlin central station, quite chaotic there, loads and loads of people arriving there from poland/ukraine. lots of people helping out, lots of solidarity but i'm skeptical how long that will last.
 

shakahislop

Well-known member
There's no way to prove any of it, but I think the US government started rumours that karzai was a drug addict, when they started to want to replace him in Kabul (they failed to do that but the rumours were always around). At a guess, they know that circulating rumours about the mental state of individual leaders is part of their arsenal.
 

droid

Well-known member
I think this is a good analysis of where things stand.

The Ukrainian military face an uphill battle. Their desperate resistance east of the Dnieper will become increasingly difficult as Russian reinforcements pour in through the Donbass. Up to 20 European nations are sending weapons – principally Stinger surface to air, anti-aircraft missiles and Javelin anti-tank missiles. Even neutral states such as Sweden and Finland are sending thousands of such weapon systems.

The EU military staffs at Brussels are attempting to coordinate this supply of weapons and ammunition, along with battlefield medical kits, rations, fuel and water. The US and UK authorities have established an ‘International Donors Coordination Centre’ – outside of NATO’s structures to assist in this effort.

With Ukrainian airspace now effectively controlled by the Russians, these supplies of weapons and other war materials will have to enter Ukraine across land borders – most likely from Poland.

The area around Lviv will become the major reception and distribution centre for such materials to what will become a Ukrainian resistance movement west of the Dnieper River. This would draw Russian forces into a war of attrition in Ukraine – not unlike the experience of the Soviets in Afghanistan.

As these weapons enter Ukraine, the Kremlin may well begin to target Lviv and border crossings along the Polish, Slovakian and Baltic frontiers. Such actions might well inflict casualties on NATO troops or EU border forces. This would lead to a de-facto escalation of the war in Ukraine to a wider European war with Russia.


The US will be more than happy to see Ukraine become another wasteland as long as it fucks up the Russians in the long term. There might be some consideration given to a surrender of Kiev and the east, move the government to Lviv, cool things down and continue a long fight from there as sanctions kick in. It may be the only hope to escape this without the total destruction of cities and infrastructure.
 

Mr. Tea

Let's Talk About Ceps
There's no way to prove any of it, but I think the US government started rumours that karzai was a drug addict, when they started to want to replace him in Kabul (they failed to do that but the rumours were always around). At a guess, they know that circulating rumours about the mental state of individual leaders is part of their arsenal.
Wouldn't be surprised. OTOH, a lot of people have commented on his puffy face, and his actions speak for themselves. So it could be a side effect of drugs he's taking for a serious illness, or a desperate attempt to achieve something he's been itching to do these last 20 years, if he thinks he might not be around much longer.
 

shakahislop

Well-known member
Wouldn't be surprised. OTOH, a lot of people have commented on his puffy face, and his actions speak for themselves. So it could be a side effect of drugs he's taking for a serious illness, or a desperate attempt to achieve something he's been itching to do these last 20 years, if he thinks he might not be around much longer.
maybe he's been listening to red scare and wants to get dasha's attention
 
Someone on Twitter pointed out that military hardware, proper worn out shit, is being pulled in from the East. What's to stop all those provinces telling Moscow to fuck off, especially now the VDV is destroyed.
 
Someone on Twitter pointed out that military hardware, proper worn out shit, is being pulled in from the East. What's to stop all those provinces telling Moscow to fuck off, especially now the VDV is destroyed.
Sanction-busting secession from the federation must be very tempting if you're closer to Beijing than Moscow.
 
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