teams already qualified:
south africa
ghana
brazil
australia
japan
north korea
south korea
spain
england
holland
paraguay
teams who could qualify this weekend:
tunisia - if they beat kenya and nigeria fail to beat mozambique
algeria - if their result against rwanda is better than egypt's result against zambia
ivory coast - if they draw or win against malawi, or if they lose and burkina faso fail to beat guinea
denmark - if they beat sweden
switzerland - if they beat luxembourg and greece and latvia draw.
slovakia - if they get at least a draw against slovenia
germany - if they beat russia in moscow
serbia - if against romania they at least match the french result against faroe islands
italy - if they draw against or beat ireland
usa - if they beat honduras, or if they draw or lose and costa rica lose to trinidad and tobago.
mexico - if they beat el salvador and usa beat honduras or trinidad and tobago beat costa rica
honduras - if they beat usa and costa rica lose to trinidad and tobago.
chile - if they beat columbia, or if they draw or lose and argentina or ecuador fail to win against peru and uruguay respectively
ecuador - if they beat uruguay and argentina lose to peru
play-offs already decided:
bahrain vs new zealand - first leg this weekend!
the HUGE matches this weekend
russia vs germany - winner will take the group, with germany holding the advantage if they draw (assuming neither slips up on wednesday)
honduras vs usa - it won't matter if costa rica lose to trindad and tobago, but that shouldn't happen.
cameroon vs togo - another winner (should) take it all match. although not quite. because if they cancel each other out gabon could spoil the party.
bahrain vs new zealand - first leg of the play off match
denmark vs sweden/portugal vs hungary - denmark will go through if they win another match - they play hungary on wednesday, the rest are all playing for play-off places with sweden currently holding a two point advantage over portugal and hungary
greece vs latvia - winner will almost certainly take the play-off place in euro group 2 at least.
czech rep vs poland - both used to qualifying for big tournaments and now they're both struggling. a loss for either side and they can say goodbye to their world cup hopes.
ecuador vs uruguay - the winner will make a big claim for a qualification or play-off berth, with uruguay looking to push their rivals argentina into oblivion
in effect we could know 25 out of the 32 qualifiers by monday morning.
bring on the games!