"
Furthermore, as long as men target women who have been drinking or young women under 18, there is a good chance that the police won't bother to interview or investigate, and the allegations won't appear "on the books"."
So basically they're easier and the police are less likely to take the story seriously. This next article indicates the increase in possibility of opportunistic rape - "In 50 per cent of all reported rapes the victim was
seriously drunk; the figure is likely to be far higher for cases that went unreported."
http://www.newstatesman.com/200509260024
OMG.
Waffles, read that article.
First of all, Shonx, a "three month spike" is not necessarily statistically significant. Do you know anything about math or statistics? There are often anomalous spikes in crime or rape or anything else, but this does not mean that there's a general trend.
This article relies on a short spike in "reported" rapes near a holiday season--yet the author assumes that the spike in reported rapes is *caused by* rather than simply correlated with female drinking. Everyone tends to drink more during the holidays. This may mean rapists are drinking more and are therefore more emboldened. This is not taken into consideration. The author also assumes that an increase in reports of rape necessarily means that more rapes were committed. This, according to the last 50 years of record keeping on rape stats, is highly unlikely. The increase in reported rapes usually comes on the heels of women feeling more likely to be believed and taken seriously in their claims.
Could it be that more of these rapes were perpetrated by strangers, which explains the higher rate of report (women are more likely to report rapes perpetrated by strangers)? Where are the figures for how drunk the male perpetrater was? Seeing as most women who are raped while drunk were probably drinking with the rapist before the rape, most victims could easily supply this information. Could it not be the increased drinking of men (which has been proven to increase sexual aggression, not just to "correlate" with it) that actually caused the increase in REPORTED rapes?
What makes anyone think that during the next holiday season, when, as the author notes, "British women defy the cold, hail and snow by donning their shortest skirts and heading for the bars" rapes may not spike again simply because people are
going on more dates, the situation in which a woman is most likely to be raped outside the home? Could it be that men are simply more aggressive during these times because there is more stress all around?
Despite all of these rather obvious challenges to the logic and supposed "statistical analysis" employed in the first half of the article that remain unaddressed, are you really so sure that the author agrees with you, Shonx?
Let's look at this passage:
(The British Crime Survey says 15 per cent of all raped women are too drunk to give their consent.) But another reason that drunk women are vulnerable has been pinpointed by Julie Bindel, founder of Justice for Women. "The fact is that many young women, through no fault of their own, fall into a cliche that makes them vulnerable. They're dressed up in heels and skirts, they're on the sauce, and they're more sexually open than previous generations. In my opinion, there's a constituency of rapists who know what juries don't like, and target women accordingly."
So even this author admits that very, very few women are raped who are passed out drunk. Then Julie Bindel points out that, rather than being the fault of women who are drinking and dressing in sexier clothes to celebrate the holidays, rapes are being committed because men know they will get away with rape if their victim was dressed scantily, was drunk, and was attractive. In court, as the judge cited also points out, no one will believe that the women didn't "have it coming to her." So even this article would suggest that changing the stereotype that tells men that all women who have a fun night out are incorrigible whores who are fair game for rapists is the only real way to combat date rapes that include alcohol as a factor.
This is exactly the opposite of the point you seem to think the author is making.
You also want to accuse me and Waffles of being unfair and claiming that "all men are potential rapists" (which neither of us ever did, even if it's quite possibly true that anyone through the wrong upbringing can become a rapist), when the author of this article herself claims openly that she agrees with these findings:
Half of a group of high-school males, for instance, said that they believed it acceptable "for a guy to hold a girl down and force her to have sexual intercourse" if he found her sexually attractive. In a survey of 7,000 men, conducted by Shere Hite, 46 per cent responded in the affirmative to the question, "Have you ever wanted to rape a woman?"
These findings suggest that nearly half of all men are potential rapists. The author seems to believe that a whopping 70% of men could commit rape if they think they will get away with it--yet you have no problem with this article?
In any case, despite the complete lack of credibility in the statistical analysis portion of this article, I'll agree with the last few paragraphs:
Thus, in court (if, by some miracle, the case should get that far, as only 10 per cent of reported cases make it to trial), a rapist is far less likely to be convicted if the victim was drunk. Aside from assuming that the woman's memory was impaired, juries often perceive drunken young women as "asking for it", female jurors apparently being most judgemental in this respect. As a judge commented in a Criminal Bar Association report last year, "Juries always want a victim who is as pure as the driven snow. Women on juries especially are very particular about young girls who go out and have nine vodka ices. I don't think there are many women on a jury who are particularly sympathetic in that situation."
The myths surrounding rapists - that they are wild-eyed types with shifty eyes and unkempt beards - are another factor that lets women down in court. It is very difficult for an accuser who has been drinking to secure a conviction against a defendant who is smartly turned out, holds down a job and has a girlfriend. So long as a rapist chooses his victim carefully, the issue of consent - always a "he said, she said" situation anyway - will be skewed in his favour.
Change is possible. In New York, some boroughs recorded conviction rates as high as 80 per cent after the advent of trained specialist rape prosecutors (a measure that has been implemented by the Crown Prosecution Service in the UK, but, as yet, without sufficient funding or success). Until conviction rates in this country rise, rapists will continue to have free rein to indulge their worst impulses, and women can never be entirely safe. And until the government properly addresses the imbalance that is written into our legal system, it seems likely that rape cases will continue to rise and spike. I, for one, am not looking forward to the figures that will be published after this year's party season.