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Leo

Well-known member
250k by year-end? maybe more, if it thrives more in colder weather.

if only we had herd immunity.
 

Leo

Well-known member
yeah, until bars, restaurants and offices reopen and subways are packed again.

don't count your chickens before they hatch.
 

mixed_biscuits

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So you think people there stopped meeting new people about three months ago or something?

As for pubs, we've had 45,000 pubs open in the UK for weeks and no more than a handful of outbreaks (of cases only).

NYC.png
 

mixed_biscuits

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Myth-busting from Oxford's Prof. Sunetra Gupta:

Myth 1: We can keep it out
Myth 2: We are all going to die
Myth 3: We are nowhere close to herd immunity

 

Mr. Tea

Let's Talk About Ceps
I could point out, for the umpteenth time, that there are extremely good reasons to avoid catching this virus beyond the (admittedly small, if you're young/ish and healthy/ish), risk of death.

But surely nobody here is depressingly stupid enough to still be ignoring this aspect of the disease, best part of a year after the initial outbreak?
 
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mixed_biscuits

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Well, there are many, many communicable things that can knock one's body off-kilter, the sum of which would merit multiple lockdowns by that standard.
 

Leo

Well-known member
So you think people there stopped meeting new people about three months ago or something?

what I KNOW is millions fewer people here crammed into subways, sat close to hundreds of colleague at work for 8 hours and packed into crowded bars every fucking day.

arguing sometimes sketchy datapoints is fine but maybe refrain from being a jackass.
 

Leo

Well-known member
midtown Manhattan and the financial district have hundreds of office towers accommodating hundreds of thousands of office workers. the vast majority of those offices are still closed, with all those employees working in isolation at home. those hundreds of thousands of people are not sitting side by side in offices all day, not cramming onto the subway every day and not going out to crowded bars after work.

my guess is the death rate curve is due to hundreds of thousands -- probably millions -- of people staying home for the most part, social distancing when they do leave home.
 

Mr. Tea

Let's Talk About Ceps
Well, there are many, many communicable things that can knock one's body off-kilter, the sum of which would merit multiple lockdowns by that standard.
Horseshit. What other infectious disease is A) as widespread as covid-19, B) can be transmitted as easily, C) currently has no cure, and D) has severe long-term health consequences for those it doesn't kill?

Sure, there are various nasty bugs out there, but to how many of them do all four of those descriptions apply? Ebola isn't presently running riot through the USA. You don't worry about catching HIV because someone coughs on a bus. We don't freak out about cholera because it's no longer the 19th century and, in developed countries, even poor people (unless they're unlucky enough to live in Flint, MI) generally have access to clean water and proper sanitation. And so on.

To be honest, your replies are so wilfully obtuse that I have a hard time believing you're arguing in good faith and aren't just being contrarian for the sake of it.
 
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