Yeah seen a lot of "Sterling up against the euro" type stuff over the last few days.
One way to make a prediction on the result of a given game is to first make an analysis of the individual teams themselves - what players they have and how many are injured or suspended, what style they play and how well it has been working so far, whether they are flexible in terms of back up plans, is there a question mark over what might happen if they do go behind cos they have never had to deal with that scenario in the tournament so far?
Do this for both teams then think of how those teams will match up against each other; does one team have a standard set up that naturally focuses on the other side's weaknesses, or is the other side experienced in playing teams that use that system.... will one team - or both - change or will they simply trust to their ability and attempt to impose themselves on the other side?
Does one team have a super fast winger that they will seek to get into as many one v one battles with the experienced and wily but not-as-quick-as-he-used-to-be sweeper? And if so how will the other team minimise the occurrences..
In fact, you can look at every match-up on the pitch, and every potential match-up that could arise from different systems and different selections, and then repeat for every slightly larger battle that will occur; how will team A´s attack match up against team B´s defence, which midfield will dominate and.... well and so on and so on.
But even with all this it's very hard to make any sort of good prediction, at least in my experience. This method is very very far from perfect, it does however have the edge over the method that - according to my statistical analysis - is the one that you are using
@thirdform the one that every five year old who has just started watching football uses until they get tired of the disappointment of constantly being wrong (and interestingly, my analysis of the Wuhan thread gives some compelling evidence that
@mixed_biscuits may have somehow have generalised the method to go beyond football so that when he needs to be really badly wrong about what is going to happen in the future with the C19 situation he has a tool right at his fingertips) - basically you just pick the result that you want and say confidently that it will happen, if you want to really go for it then you can also add in an improbable and humiliating scoreline too but that's really not necessary.
So.... based on this prediction and your accuracy so far Third, all the evidence clearly points to Denmark vs Spain in the final. The overall winner though is a bit trickier to identify from what you said though, I'm gonna have to extrapolate a it somewhat and so does push us out further into unknown territory. But in short, you are saying the winner will come from the Italy/Spain side of the drawer and so the obvious answer is that Denmark are going to beat Spain in the final, adding a second improbable title to their first - incredibly improbable - title.
